Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.248105 1.422336 1.612011 1.833829 2.086144 2.364257 2.694134
2025-11-16 0.975536 1.211705 1.491377 1.847004 2.287357 2.815026 3.495930
2025-11-23 0.829752 1.093917 1.425486 1.872260 2.458926 3.203729 4.222531
2025-11-30 0.714671 0.989417 1.351126 1.862248 2.566530 3.504033 4.849273
2025-12-07 0.618443 0.893339 1.270556 1.826070 2.624212 3.731260 5.387184
2025-12-14 0.537520 0.806568 1.189723 1.775261 2.648668 3.905577 5.856997
2025-12-21 0.479625 0.745172 1.136390 1.754827 2.709452 4.130273 6.412557
2025-12-28 0.451794 0.724921 1.140150 1.817447 2.896626 4.553690 7.300724
2026-01-04 0.408345 0.675284 1.093221 1.795254 2.947577 4.769364 7.880001
2026-01-11 0.385030 0.655107 1.089843 1.840593 3.107879 5.167297 8.782961
2026-01-18 0.356472 0.623126 1.063801 1.845078 3.199429 5.458560 9.531108
2026-01-25 0.324961 0.582879 1.019956 1.814539 3.227345 5.643427 10.110182
2026-02-01 0.289433 0.534866 0.963040 1.764359 3.231562 5.813995 10.729654
2026-02-08 0.266374 0.507298 0.940105 1.774174 3.347246 6.197691 11.785705
2026-02-15 0.248170 0.486389 0.926458 1.798542 3.490402 6.642215 12.996992
2026-02-22 0.227633 0.458595 0.896846 1.788921 3.567075 6.968869 14.014988
2026-03-01 0.206467 0.427125 0.856764 1.754166 3.590182 7.193667 14.853665
2026-03-08 0.186170 0.395117 0.812204 1.705357 3.579233 7.348917 15.565336
2026-03-15 0.171112 0.372253 0.783536 1.685727 3.625170 7.620956 16.543567
2026-03-22 0.165162 0.368020 0.792585 1.745883 3.844019 8.267741 18.380167
2026-03-29 0.152347 0.347461 0.765166 1.724562 3.885004 8.543473 19.437884
2026-04-05 0.146147 0.340941 0.767227 1.768118 4.072643 9.151237 21.293785
2026-04-12 0.137311 0.327463 0.752596 1.772426 4.171966 9.573407 22.769292